AGOA’s
impact on Kenya’s exports has been nothing short of impressive. Growing at an
average of 2% a year before AGOA’s passage, Kenya’s exports to the US exploded
to a growth level of 28% a year until 2005.
Most
of this growth was fueled by the textiles and apparel sector, which grew at as
much as 44% between 2001-05. However, this was from a respectable pre-AGOA 16%
annual growth rate.
The
end of the multi-fiber arrangement in 2005 led to a collapse in growth, culminating in a full-on
decline in textile/apparel exports with the on set of the US’s recession in
2009.
However,
leading non-textile/apparel exports softened the decline in total exports by
steadily growing at between 7-10% over the same 2006-11 period.